The trading futures contracts begun in 17th or 18th century in Japan and Holland for agricultural products like rice and wheat. But the first organized futures trading started in Chicago, United states in 1840. In 1848, the first centralized futures trading market came in to being in Chicago called Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, which allowed both spot trading and futures contract trading. The Board of Trade of the City of Chicago later modified its name as Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).

In 19th century the products available for futures trading are common agricultural commodities like wheat, rice, oats etc; also some live stocks and meats. Most of these products are traded across US, from western agricultural lands to eastern populated lands. Later more products such as gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas, heating gas, etc were also become available for trading. With the development of the market the products increased to stock futures and stock index futures. In 1971, with the ending of currency gold standards, CME introduced financial futures for the first time, which soon became the most traded futures item. In 1987 electronic trading of futures started and futures contracts become available to everyone around the world.

All futures contracts are guaranteed by clearing houses and have unalterable contract specifications including delivery time and price of the underlying product. Although both names, futures contracts and forward contracts, are used alternatively, they differ in the trading style. Forward contracts are traded OTC (over the counter) though broker-dealer interactions, which involve price bargaining. But futures contracts are traded by open outcry of screen in public domain or simply through centralized futures markets. Remember unlike options, in futures trading it is mandatory to own/deliver the underlying product at the end of the contract period.

As discussed earlier, there are a variety of products available for futures trading, which are named after the underlying product they have. The most common type of futures is the commodity futures for agricultural, metal, energy, meat and live stock commodities. The financial futures or money futures are the futures contracts which have bonds, treasury notes, and other interest-based assets as underlying product. Stock futures have individual stocks are underlying product, where as stock index futures are meant for hedging stock market fluctuations as a whole. Like wise, currency futures are for individual currencies and index futures are for one group/whole market currencies. Although not a future contract, futures options are also a familiar product which gives the holder the option to buy a contract for a specified price at a specific time.

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Seasonal Spread Trade for Consistent Returns

Spread trading is a unique trading concept not all that familiar to the average commodity investor. The typical commodity trader analyzes a particular market, either from a technical or a fundamental standpoint, sometimes combining the two; makes a determination as to whether the market exhibits either a bullish or bearish bias, and then wagers by going long a futures contract or purchasing a call option, or by going short a futures contract or buying a put option. There are a number of variations on the theme, but the idea is basically the same.

The following demonstrates the inherent disadvantages, in the above two scenarios, of an outright futures position or the purchase of an option;

1. Size of account. The average investor has a limited account size, and can only withstand a certain amount of drawdown associated with any particular trade. The limited size of trading account necessitates the placement of a protective stop order above or below the position. The premature assumption of a position and the inherent volatility associated with commodity markets leaves the position vulnerable to a one or two day move that triggers the stop order, sidelining the trader as the position oftentimes turns back around. As the market moves in the trader’s favor, the advisability of using trailing stops, adjusting the protective stop in the direction of the trade makes sense in theory, but oftentimes the market will open well above or below the stop order, blowing out the stop and oftentimes taking away a substantial amount, if not all of the profit that was being locked in.

2. Time. In the case of an options purchase, you are basically purchasing time. As the purchaser of an option, the time clock and the calendar become your worst enemy. The value of your option depreciates as you wait for the market to move in your direction. Typically the purchaser of an option witnesses the market go up and down, as the value of his option changes, all along the remaining time value decaying on an accelerated curve as the option expiration day grows nearer.

Spread trading on the other hand, is a way of effectively combating the above two problems. Time no longer is an enemy and volatility, to a certain extent, is effectively reduced. Margins are substantially less due to the relative conservative nature of the “hedged” trade, which the commodity exchanges themselves recognize. Margin requirements, for a spread, can be reduced anywhere from 20% to 90%

Spread trading has no directional bias. The market can go up or down, the trade is based only the relationship between the long and the short position, i.e.- as long as the long side of your spread outperforms the short side you will be profitable. Spread trades can be in the same commodity with different delivery months (i.e. buy July Lean Hogs and sell December Lean Hogs), or different commodities (i.e. buy March Swiss Franc and sell March Australian Dollar). Generally speaking, both sides of the trade will have the same overall directional bias, as in being both long and short in the Grains (long July Corn/short March Corn) , or in the Meats (long Live Cattle/short Feeder Cattle), or in the Metals (long Gold/short Silver). This allows for the built in “hedge”.

Seasonal spread trading is another opportunity to take advantage of this manner of trading. As there are many seasonal tendencies associated with various commodity markets, there are also seasonal tendencies associated with seasonal spread trades. Seasonality is a seasonal cycle that forms a similar, reliable pattern every year for many years.

Reliable seasonal tendencies are all around us.

Everyone is familiar with weather seasonality. In the winter months the temperature is colder than in the summer months.

Farmers will plant crops and harvest crops at about the same time every year.

In the summer months, Crude Oil is usually higher than in winter (because people drive cars more in summer).

In the winter months heating oil is usually higher than in the summer (because more people are trying to stay warm in winter).

At TransWorld Futures, www.TransWorldFutures.com, we go back over 15 years of research and analyze high percentage seasonal spread trade patterns. If a commodity doesn’t exhibit a high seasonal correlation, it is tossed out of the data base.

Any spread trade that has been successful 80% of the time or better over the past 15 years is certainly a possible candidate for exhibiting a seasonal tendency and worth analyzing further. Once the high percentage entry and exit dates are determined, it is time to examine the trade on the technical setup. Is the spread overbought or oversold, what are the resistance points? Basically does the trade look technically as well as fundamentally sound. There are a number of advisory services that offer seasonal spread trade recommendations based on historical analysis, but, by ignoring the technical set up, may result in entering the trade too early, resulting in unnecessarily large draw downs, or in entering too late, missing the trade altogether. We attempt to alleviate the stress, and do the leg work for you. The results from this unique form of trading have to be seen to be believed. Please contact one of our friendly brokers today, and learn about one of the most consistent trade indicators.

Rob Rutger

Senior Analyst

TransWorld Futures

Rob@TransWorldFutures.com

Toll free: 1-877-843-4519

International: 011-813-241-1902

Fax: 1-813-241-1927

www.TransWorldFutures.com